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100Acre

100Acre

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Finally, while Reed makes no observations on the potential mortality associated with nCoV, one can make a broad observation: late on Friday, China's Hubei province reported 15 additional coronavirus deaths, which added to the previously reported 26 casualties, bringing the total to 41. And with roughly 1,100 confirmed cases, this means that the mortality rate of the diseases has just jumped from roughly 2.5% to 4%. Which means that if Reed is correct, and if 250,000 people in Hubei alone will be infected by February 4, no less than 10,000 Chinese people will be dead in the next 2-3 weeks.
UK Researcher Predicts Over 250,000 Chinese Will Have Coronavirus In Ten Days
 
Ragnar406

Ragnar406

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Finally, while Reed makes no observations on the potential mortality associated with nCoV, one can make a broad observation: late on Friday, China's Hubei province reported 15 additional coronavirus deaths, which added to the previously reported 26 casualties, bringing the total to 41. And with roughly 1,100 confirmed cases, this means that the mortality rate of the diseases has just jumped from roughly 2.5% to 4%. Which means that if Reed is correct, and if 250,000 people in Hubei alone will be infected by February 4, no less than 10,000 Chinese people will be dead in the next 2-3 weeks.
UK Researcher Predicts Over 250,000 Chinese Will Have Coronavirus In Ten Days
I highly suspect the current numbers are being greatly underreported or China is having the mother of all overreactions. You do not Quarantine 40 million on the eve of their biggest celebration all year for the death of 25 people. We shall soon see
 
100Acre

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I highly suspect the current numbers are being greatly underreported or China is having the mother of all overreactions. You do not Quarantine 40 million on the eve of their biggest celebration all year for the death of 25 people. We shall soon see
it almost seems engineered with all the food shortages especially in china and of course the biggest celebration in china where everyone from all the outlying provinces all flock to the cities for one giant celebration. and someone eats a bat....with snake sauce....chewey!
 
Alan_Vander

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I highly suspect the current numbers are being greatly underreported or China is having the mother of all overreactions. You do not Quarantine 40 million on the eve of their biggest celebration all year for the death of 25 people. We shall soon see
Death toll is over 100. And it isnt as contained as some of the media is saying it is.

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Kilo427

Kilo427

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Yeah I got a friend living there says it’s really bad. Looks like it may be more than a nothing burger.
 
Farmer

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Did you see the hospital they are building just for this problem? They had like 25 excavators in the hole scrambling to dig the foundation. Yeah, they're expecting S to hit the fan.
 
Ragnar406

Ragnar406

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Did you see the hospital they are building just for this problem? They had like 25 excavators in the hole scrambling to dig the foundation. Yeah, they're expecting S to hit the fan.
They announced they are building a 2nd today.
 
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Alan_Vander

Alan_Vander

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Yeah 15 die in a day over 100 more confirmed new cases in a day. Its going to be bad

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Ragnar406

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Even if the virus never makes it over here you may think how is this going to affect me?

Chinese New Year is today over there - this is their biggest holiday celebration of the year. People are on holiday for up to a month
  • Most factories started shutting down over a week ago and do not start opening back up until week of Feb 10th.
  • US ports will be without shipments from china from about 3/2 through 3/27 (roughly)
  • Week of 4/6 probably the first time new inventory is going to be hitting DC's
Most of the Chinese factory work force actually live far away from the factories - there is a risk that the quarantines restricts a large % of the marking force from making it back from the CNY (Chinese New Year) holiday. Factories always see a drop after CNY in the work force as for many they only get to see their family a couple times a year and after having a month back home - well you can guess some decide not to return.

Why is this important/ something to watch? -> Supply chain. Most suppliers are stocked up on inventory right now to fulfill normal retail demand until the can get resupplied after CNY.

You may not remember but back with Japan that their Fukushima nuclear event Computer memory sky rocked. Sometime doubling in price as that area was home to most of the production (that is just one example)

Some times off the top of my head that might be impacted if china can not get factories up and running at full capacity
  1. Shoes
  2. Apparel
  3. Home goods
  4. Machinery (harbor freight among many others)
  5. Electronics
Many are saying it is spreading fast in china due to the sanitary (or lack of) conditions they live in (further out from the metro areas).... well India and Pakistan and much much worse and do not have the infrastructure that china has and it was just reported that India now has a few suspected cases....

Even if this does not have the death rate impact of the Spanish flu this keep jumping it will still affect us in some form or fashion.

Something to think on...
 
100Acre

100Acre

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Did you see the hospital they are building just for this problem? They had like 25 excavators in the hole scrambling to dig the foundation. Yeah, they're expecting S to hit the fan.
More like a massive grave or hole to burn the millions of corpses. In a couple of days, I'm going on total lockdown! No one in or out! I'll wait it out....Now apparently a global bean shortage too.
 
100Acre

100Acre

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less farting...
 
100Acre

100Acre

Samsquinch the Terrible Magic Bean Manipulator
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Even if the virus never makes it over here you may think how is this going to affect me?

Chinese New Year is today over there - this is their biggest holiday celebration of the year. People are on holiday for up to a month
  • Most factories started shutting down over a week ago and do not start opening back up until week of Feb 10th.
  • US ports will be without shipments from china from about 3/2 through 3/27 (roughly)
  • Week of 4/6 probably the first time new inventory is going to be hitting DC's
Most of the Chinese factory work force actually live far away from the factories - there is a risk that the quarantines restricts a large % of the marking force from making it back from the CNY (Chinese New Year) holiday. Factories always see a drop after CNY in the work force as for many they only get to see their family a couple times a year and after having a month back home - well you can guess some decide not to return.

Why is this important/ something to watch? -> Supply chain. Most suppliers are stocked up on inventory right now to fulfill normal retail demand until the can get resupplied after CNY.

You may not remember but back with Japan that their Fukushima nuclear event Computer memory sky rocked. Sometime doubling in price as that area was home to most of the production (that is just one example)

Some times off the top of my head that might be impacted if china can not get factories up and running at full capacity
  1. Shoes
  2. Apparel
  3. Home goods
  4. Machinery (harbor freight among many others)
  5. Electronics
Many are saying it is spreading fast in china due to the sanitary (or lack of) conditions they live in (further out from the metro areas).... well India and Pakistan and much much worse and do not have the infrastructure that china has and it was just reported that India now has a few suspected cases....

Even if this does not have the death rate impact of the Spanish flu this keep jumping it will still affect us in some form or fashion.

Something to think on...

This has the potential to shut down all the worlds markets, economies currencies...etc.
 
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CumminsPusher

CumminsPusher

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Alan_Vander

Alan_Vander

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true but alot more people get the flu and survive. Whats the survival rate of the corona?
7e22ba16d951bb59e290c5a4143a63ce.jpg


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100Acre

100Acre

Samsquinch the Terrible Magic Bean Manipulator
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